INTERPRETATION OF
THE CASH FLOWS STATEMENTS
Having prepared the cash flow statement, the next step is to
interpret it. This requires a keen eye to capture the sources of cash for the
company and the uses of cash for the company. The direct method gives an
explicit view of the actual sources of cash while the indirect method derives
its figures from the accruals adjustments.
A healthy business should be able to generate its cash flows
from its operations so as to support its investment and financing polices. It
is important to capture the true sources of cash as they may be selling off
assets in the investing activities segment thus compromising future cash
generative capability and competitiveness. The business may also be borrowing
or raising cash from shareholders in the financing section thus the liquidity
is short term as capital providers must be paid a return in future. It should
be crystal clear that the best source of cash should be the operations of the
business as it is the only viable and long-term source of profitability and
wealth.
Having identified the major sources and uses of cash flows,
it is imperative to now project future cash needs or inflows so as to place a
value on the value of the company. The fundamental concept of fundamental
valuation is that the firm value is the present value of future stream of cash
flows, so projecting future operating cash flows is fundamental in valuation.
The inter-relationships between operating, investing and
financing cash flows should be sequential. Ideally the company should generate
cash flows from their operations, that would propel growth through investing in
Non current assets that would generate more operating revenues that would be
used to pay dividends and interest claims to the firm financiers. A mature
company or growing company would have such kind of profile.
A company in its nascent phase would however not project a
pattern as above. This is because the cash flows from operating activities are
yet to stabilize and might even be negative. This should not be a cause of
concern especially if there are reasonable growth prospects and competitive
capacity for the future. Such a company should not be written off if the future
growth rates are certain.
A company that is declining would be generating cash flows
from selling off their assets in the investing activity section rather than
operating cash flow generation. This
should be a cause of alarm as future competitiveness is compromised as assets
are the cash generative capacity of a business.
The capital structure would determine how the financing
section appears. The highly geared company would be expending massive interest
payments if classified as a financing cash outflow and where investors require
high dividends pay outs, and then also this section would have large outflows.
Tax issues would be relevant in determining whether dividend payouts would be
more or less as in jurisdictions where there is large capital gains tax the
shareholders would prefer dividends.
Finally the statement should self reconcile as the sum of
the three sections would give us the net increase or decrease in cash and cash
equivalents. The opening balance and closing balance would be explained by the
net increase or decrease in cash and cash equivalents.
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